Michigan wins by over 14.5 points
chance of YES52%
-0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
45–53%
24h volume
23.6K
Open interest
75.2K
Bid / ask
46¢ / 47¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0¢ | 92,802 | 47.0¢ | 70 |
| 45.0¢ | 261,019 | 48.0¢ | 33,690 |
| 44.0¢ | 159,009 | 49.0¢ | 83,671 |
| 43.0¢ | 31,429 | 50.0¢ | 34,820 |
| 42.0¢ | 28,992 | 51.0¢ | 79,036 |
Mid 46.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 53¢ | 5,480 | $3K | |
| NO | 47¢ | 10,287 | $5K | |
| YES | 53¢ | 3,690 | $2K | |
| YES | 51¢ | 7,704 | $4K | |
| YES | 48¢ | 7,969 | $4K | |
| YES | 48¢ | 3,029 | $1K | |
| YES | 47¢ | 2,271 | $1K | |
| NO | 55¢ | 13,157 | $7K | |
| NO | 54¢ | 17,945 | $10K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.