Oregon wins by over 3.5 points
chance of YES52%
+1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
49–51%
24h volume
393.3K
Open interest
348.8K
Bid / ask
51¢ / 52¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51.0¢ | 369,752 | 52.0¢ | 48,441 |
| 50.0¢ | 680,590 | 53.0¢ | 349,035 |
| 49.0¢ | 629,237 | 54.0¢ | 537,279 |
| 48.0¢ | 71,666 | 55.0¢ | 124,123 |
| 47.0¢ | 2,090 | 56.0¢ | 100,919 |
Mid 51.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 49¢ | 3,431 | $2K | |
| NO | 49¢ | 8,425 | $4K | |
| YES | 52¢ | 8,425 | $4K | |
| YES | 52¢ | 19,704 | $10K | |
| NO | 49¢ | 19,704 | $10K | |
| YES | 52¢ | 3,244 | $2K | |
| YES | 51¢ | 12,889 | $7K | |
| YES | 50¢ | 285,204 | $143K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.