What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiHealth

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (62d) All outcomes: Pandemic in 2026?

chance of YES4%

Price range (120d)

3–9%

30d -20 pts · 7d +33 pts

24h volume

714

$1 contracts

Open interest

253.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

5¢ / 7¢

spread 2.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 6.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 29, 7:00 PM ET	NO	97¢	1,139	$1K
Oct 22, 1:23 AM ET	NO	98¢	2,261	$2K
Oct 21, 4:51 PM ET	NO	98¢	2,305	$2K
Oct 21, 12:35 PM ET	NO	97¢	9,166	$9K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.