Arizona wins
chance of YES26%
-0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
26–34%
24h volume
71.7K
Open interest
250.2K
Bid / ask
25¢ / 26¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.0¢ | 430,905 | 26.0¢ | 855,035 |
| 24.0¢ | 55,131 | 27.0¢ | 947,391 |
| 23.0¢ | 9,116 | 28.0¢ | 1,379,533 |
| 22.0¢ | 3,175 | 29.0¢ | 63,217 |
| 21.0¢ | 476 | 30.0¢ | 86 |
Mid 25.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Dallas74%33.4K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 75¢ | 2,029 | $2K | |
| YES | 26¢ | 7,313 | $2K | |
| YES | 26¢ | 5,009 | $1K | |
| NO | 76¢ | 1,462 | $1K | |
| YES | 26¢ | 56,558 | $15K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.