What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 01, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: New Jersey vs Vegas

chance of YES100% +50.0pp in 24h

Price range (4d)

46–99%

24h volume

669.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

482.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$199K

95% on YES

hourly, 4d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Vegas0%912.6K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 8:32 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,613	$4K
Oct 30, 8:30 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,762	$2K
Oct 30, 8:28 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,383	$1K
Oct 30, 8:27 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,037	$2K
Oct 30, 8:26 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,230	$1K
Oct 30, 8:26 PM ET	YES	97¢	3,944	$4K
Oct 30, 8:26 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,968	$2K
Oct 30, 8:25 PM ET	YES	97¢	2,893	$3K
Oct 30, 8:24 PM ET	YES	97¢	2,161	$2K
Oct 30, 8:22 PM ET	YES	97¢	6,172	$6K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.