What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 70%, implying a 70% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 2 inches

Settles Dec 01, 2026 (38d) All outcomes: Rain in Los Angeles in Nov 2026?

chance of YES70% +16.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

41–61%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

179

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.