What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 4 inches

Settles Nov 01, 2026 (8d) All outcomes: Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?

chance of YES1% -4.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

1–8%

· 7d -38 pts

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.