What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 09, 2026 (9d) All outcomes: The Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES40% +2.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

32–57%

· 7d +0 pts

24h volume

2.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

19.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$21K

45% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 29, 11:34 PM ET	NO	59¢	13,378	$8K
Oct 28, 6:56 PM ET	NO	49¢	2,033	$1K
Oct 27, 8:34 PM ET	NO	44¢	5,467	$2K
Oct 26, 6:40 PM ET	YES	55¢	4,000	$2K
Oct 24, 2:55 PM ET	YES	41¢	8,361	$3K
Oct 23, 4:49 AM ET	YES	38¢	5,097	$2K
Oct 21, 10:53 PM ET	YES	33¢	5,038	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.