What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 80

Settles Oct 26, 2026 (7d) All outcomes: Clayface · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES38% -5.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

33–58%

30d +3 pts · 7d -12 pts

24h volume

11.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

36.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$12K

33% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 18, 10:01 PM ET	NO	60¢	3,314	$2K
Oct 18, 2:48 PM ET	NO	57¢	2,186	$1K
Oct 16, 10:34 PM ET	NO	54¢	3,673	$2K
Oct 16, 10:33 PM ET	NO	51¢	2,561	$1K
Oct 16, 12:53 AM ET	YES	51¢	5,539	$3K
Oct 14, 3:16 PM ET	NO	47¢	3,841	$2K
Oct 13, 6:12 PM ET	YES	50¢	2,594	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.