What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiCulture & Media

Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score?

Above 85

Settles Oct 26, 2026 (6d) All outcomes: Clayface · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES16% -5.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

15–39%

30d -18 pts · 7d -10 pts

24h volume

16.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

28.5K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

16¢ / 17¢

spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
16.0¢	4,566	17.0¢	1,726
15.0¢	100	18.0¢	18
12.0¢	33	19.0¢	100
8.0¢	450	20.0¢	800
7.0¢	385	21.0¢	7,663

Mid 16.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 4596%4.8K

Above 5096%62

Above 5594%162

Above 6088%108

Above 6582%424

Above 7078%963

Above 7560%4.4K

Above 8038%10.9K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 19, 1:03 AM ET	NO	83¢	1,330	$1K
Oct 18, 9:24 PM ET	NO	83¢	1,440	$1K
Oct 18, 2:48 PM ET	NO	79¢	10,503	$8K
Oct 16, 10:22 PM ET	NO	75¢	4,175	$3K
Oct 14, 3:39 PM ET	NO	72¢	1,984	$1K
Oct 14, 10:31 AM ET	NO	69¢	2,840	$2K
Oct 6, 4:30 PM ET	NO	76¢	1,426	$1K
Oct 6, 12:11 PM ET	NO	76¢	2,838	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.

Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score?

Embed these odds

Odds and volume

Order book

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

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