What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Wicker · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES40% -2.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

8–55%

· 7d +114 pts

24h volume

26.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

31.1K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

19¢ / 21¢

spread 2.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 20.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 11:38 PM ET	YES	45¢	5,773	$3K
Oct 30, 7:28 AM ET	NO	71¢	2,500	$2K
Oct 30, 12:36 AM ET	NO	61¢	1,903	$1K
Oct 29, 2:38 PM ET	YES	42¢	4,627	$2K
Oct 29, 12:46 PM ET	NO	60¢	1,985	$1K
Oct 29, 11:49 AM ET	YES	55¢	7,668	$4K
Oct 28, 5:56 PM ET	NO	76¢	3,770	$3K
Oct 27, 8:33 AM ET	YES	59¢	2,475	$1K
Oct 27, 5:02 AM ET	YES	40¢	2,902	$1K
Oct 26, 2:06 PM ET	NO	68¢	2,902	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.