kalshi
Elections
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Darline Graham
62%
implied YES probability
-1.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 21 days ·
High 80% ·
Low 6%
· 7d -13.7pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner indicates a strong likelihood of a specific candidate emerging victorious, with a current YES price of 0.72, implying a 72% probability. This assessment is informed by known facts such as the candidates' past performances and campaign strategies. The current price reflects the collective opinion of market participants, who are weighing the relative strengths and weaknesses of each contender. Any significant developments or changes in the campaign dynamics could impact the price, potentially driving it up if a particular candidate gains momentum or down if another candidate's chances improve.
Generated Jul 26, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62.0¢ | 10 | 63.0¢ | 650 | |
| 61.0¢ | 2600 | 64.0¢ | 5366 | |
| 60.0¢ | 19701 | 65.0¢ | 1309 | |
| 59.0¢ | 5205 | 66.0¢ | 6225 | |
| 58.0¢ | 13210 | 67.0¢ | 6306 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 62.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.