kalshi Elections

Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

Darline Graham
Closes Aug 11, 2027 (372d) 24h volume 13.8K Open interest 786.5K Event South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
62%
implied YES probability
-1.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 21 days · High 80% · Low 6% · 7d -13.7pp
80%6%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner indicates a strong likelihood of a specific candidate emerging victorious, with a current YES price of 0.72, implying a 72% probability. This assessment is informed by known facts such as the candidates' past performances and campaign strategies. The current price reflects the collective opinion of market participants, who are weighing the relative strengths and weaknesses of each contender. Any significant developments or changes in the campaign dynamics could impact the price, potentially driving it up if a particular candidate gains momentum or down if another candidate's chances improve.
Generated Jul 26, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
62.0¢ 10 63.0¢ 650
61.0¢ 2600 64.0¢ 5366
60.0¢ 19701 65.0¢ 1309
59.0¢ 5205 66.0¢ 6225
58.0¢ 13210 67.0¢ 6306
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 62.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.