What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 155 bu/acre

Settles Jan 31, 2027 (96d) All outcomes: South Dakota corn yield in 2026

chance of YES32% +2.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

8–36%

· 7d -11 pts

24h volume

959

$1 contracts

Open interest

8.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.