New Zealand wins
chance of YES42%
+4.5pp in 24h
Price range (28h)
34–47%
24h volume
2.7K
Open interest
5.4K
Large orders (14d)
$1K
Odds and volume
hourly, 28hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
India60%12.9K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 79¢ | 1,900 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.