What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 92%, implying a 92% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Justin Pearson

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 382 Open interest 6.0K Event TN-09 Democratic nominee?

92%

implied YES probability

+3.2pp 24h

Last 40 days · High 90% · Low 32% · 7d +10.0pp · 30d +109.8pp

PSO Pearson plc

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.