What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Elon / Musk

chance of YES0%

Price range (8h)

1–52%

24h volume

25.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

19.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 8h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.