What will Trump say during his rally in Florida?
50/50 line50%Transgender
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Runner-up
50%
Biggest 24h move-88 pts
1%
24h volume
$1.5M
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noTransgender
50%
+2
Save America Act
50%
+4
Dividend / Stimulus
50%
+4
Crypto / Bitcoin
50%
-1
Peace in the Middle East
50%
-1
Hottest
50%
+8
Deport / Deported / Deportation
50%
-17
Ceasefire
50%
-2
Sleepy Joe
50%
+10
Data Center
50%
-31
Iran (5+ times)
50%
+38
Hormuz
50%
+63
AI / Artificial Intelligence
50%
-42
America First
50%
+74
+ 25 more in the table below.
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Crypto / BitcoinYES $0 · NO $42K · 7 orders · biggest $16K
- TransgenderYES $27K · NO $0 · 4 orders · biggest $10K
- CeasefireYES $0 · NO $11K · 3 orders · biggest $8K
- Event does not qualifyYES $0 · NO $8K · 2 orders · biggest $7K
- Fraud (3+ times)YES $0 · NO $6K · 2 orders · biggest $5K
- Peace in the Middle EastYES $0 · NO $6K · 2 orders · biggest $4K
- Dividend / StimulusYES $4K · NO $0 · 3 orders · biggest $2K
- InsuranceYES $2K · NO $2K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraud (3+ times) | NO | 99¢ | $5K | |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | NO | 99¢ | $3K | |
| America First | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Trump Account | NO | 91¢ | $2K | |
| Dividend / Stimulus | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Dividend / Stimulus | YES | 98¢ | $2K | |
| YES | 98¢ | $3K | ||
| Fraud (3+ times) | NO | 87¢ | $1K | |
| Gulf of America | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | NO | 99¢ | $16K |
All outcomes
39| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | 50% | +2.0 | $147K | $119K |
| Save America Act | 50% | +4.0 | $56K | $56K |
| Dividend / Stimulus | 50% | +4.0 | $37K | $31K |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 50% | -1.0 | $202K | $146K |
| Peace in the Middle East | 50% | -1.0 | $55K | $49K |
| Hottest | 50% | +8.0 | $12K | $10K |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | 50% | -17.0 | $54K | $43K |
| Ceasefire | 50% | -2.0 | $166K | $76K |
| Sleepy Joe | 50% | +10.0 | $13K | $11K |
| Data Center | 50% | -31.0 | $19K | $19K |
| Iran (5+ times) | 50% | +38.0 | $15K | $13K |
| Hormuz | 50% | +63.0 | $19K | $11K |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 50% | -42.0 | $96K | $93K |
| America First | 50% | +74.0 | $38K | $24K |
| Israel / Israeli | 50% | -49.0 | $24K | $17K |
| Russia / Ukraine | 50% | +33.0 | $14K | $13K |
| Event does not qualify | 50% | -2.0 | $23K | $27K |
| Drill Baby Drill | 50% | -36.0 | $15K | $12K |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 50% | +26.0 | $16K | $12K |
| Made in America / American Made | 50% | +49.0 | $27K | $14K |
| Gulf of America | 50% | +16.0 | $16K | $11K |
| Supreme Court | 50% | +29.0 | $9K | $5K |
| Nuclear (3+ times) | 50% | +24.0 | $13K | $10K |
| Blockade | 50% | +55.0 | $15K | $9K |
| Kamala | 50% | +41.0 | $18K | $15K |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | 50% | +9.0 | $7K | $6K |
| Stock Market | 50% | +7.0 | $14K | $12K |
| Cuba / Cuban | 50% | — | $7K | $5K |
| Trump Account | 50% | — | $21K | $18K |
| Artemis | 50% | — | $19K | $17K |
| Space Force | 50% | — | $8K | $6K |
| Marco / Rubio | 50% | — | $12K | $8K |
| Ilhan / Omar | 50% | — | $26K | $22K |
| 50% | — | $20K | $15K | |
| Fraud (3+ times) | 1% | -14.0 | $68K | $53K |
| Insurance | 1% | -88.0 | $54K | $32K |
| Hurricane | 1% | -53.0 | $25K | $17K |
| Fentanyl | 1% | -20.0 | $35K | $25K |
| Elon / Musk | 1% | — | $23K | $17K |
Same series
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