What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?
50/50 line48%Blockade
Line nearest 50/50
48%
Runner-up
88%
Biggest 24h move+32 pts
58%
24h volume
$13K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noSave America Act
92%
-4
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
88%
+1
ICE
86%
+1
Sleepy Joe
85%
+1
Gulf of America
82%
+5
Barack Hussein Obama
80%
+7
Supreme Court
80%
+4
Sanctuary
77%
+11
Kamala
76%
+4
Russia / Ukraine
73%
+8
France
72%
-1
Drill Baby Drill
70%
-5
Iran (5+ times)
68%
+13
Made in America / American Made
66%
+12
+ 17 more in the table below.
Odds over time
hourlyHourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Peace in the Middle EastYES $0 · NO $3K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peace in the Middle East | NO | 97¢ | $2K | |
| Peace in the Middle East | NO | 95¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
31| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Save America Act | 92% | -4.0 | $87 | $3K |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | 88% | +1.0 | $19 | $76 |
| ICE | 86% | +1.0 | $189 | $225 |
| Sleepy Joe | 85% | +1.0 | $24 | $913 |
| Gulf of America | 82% | +5.0 | $46 | $997 |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 80% | +7.0 | $737 | $890 |
| Supreme Court | 80% | +3.5 | $28 | $1K |
| Sanctuary | 77% | +11.0 | $504 | $1K |
| Kamala | 76% | +3.5 | $432 | $436 |
| Russia / Ukraine | 73% | +8.0 | $63 | $928 |
| France | 72% | -1.0 | $64 | $750 |
| Drill Baby Drill | 70% | -5.0 | $199 | $2K |
| Iran (5+ times) | 68% | +13.0 | $277 | $1K |
| Made in America / American Made | 66% | +12.5 | $678 | $864 |
| Hormuz | 62% | +15.0 | $145 | $222 |
| America First | 58% | +31.5 | $2K | $2K |
| Blockade | 48% | +11.0 | $73 | $128 |
| Electricity | 48% | — | $118 | $113 |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | 36% | +10.0 | $1K | $2K |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 36% | -7.5 | $157 | $124 |
| Data Center | 30% | -2.5 | $131 | $850 |
| Windmill | 30% | +1.5 | $27 | $303 |
| Trump Account | 28% | +8.0 | $164 | $2K |
| Social Security (5+ times) | 24% | -18.0 | $21 | $26 |
| Fentanyl | 21% | -14.0 | $162 | $186 |
| Fraud (3+ times) | 16% | -3.5 | $139 | $201 |
| Ceasefire | 8% | +5.0 | $511 | $942 |
| Palestine / Palestinian | 8% | -12.5 | $116 | $291 |
| Event does not qualify | 4% | — | $286 | $531 |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 2% | — | $1K | $3K |
| Peace in the Middle East | 2% | -2.0 | $3K | $4K |
Same series
- What will Trump say during his rally in Florida?≈ Fraud (3+ times) 0% · settles 2026-11-06
- What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?≈ Marjorie 50% · settles 2026-11-07
- What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?≈ Gulf of America 55% · settles 2026-11-08