K KalshiCulture & Media

What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?

32 outcomesSettles Nov 08, 2026 (15d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line54%Gulf of America
Line nearest 50/50
54%
Gulf of America
Runner-up
96%
Communist / Communism
Biggest 24h move+46 pts
66%
America First
24h volume
$48K
$86K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
El-Sayed 98% +1
Communist / Communism 96%
Save America Act 96%
Stock Market 94% +6
Dividend / Stimulus 94% -1
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating 93% +6
Hottest 87% +4
Barack Hussein Obama 85% +7
Auto Worker / Autoworker 83% +12
Ford / General Motors / GM 83%
Sleepy Joe 82% +7
Canada / Canadian 82%
Supreme Court 80% +14
Nuclear (3+ times) 78% +9

+ 18 more in the table below.

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • El-Sayed
    YES $9K · NO $0 · 4 orders · biggest $3K
  • Ceasefire
    YES $0 · NO $7K · 3 orders · biggest $4K
  • Communist / Communism
    YES $3K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $3K
  • Peace in the Middle East
    YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • Made in America / American Made
    YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
CeasefireNO 96¢$2K
CeasefireNO 87¢$1K
Made in America / American MadeYES 65¢$1K
Peace in the Middle EastNO 98¢$2K
El-SayedYES 97¢$3K
Communist / CommunismYES 95¢$3K
El-SayedYES 99¢$2K
El-SayedYES 97¢$2K
El-SayedYES 95¢$2K
CeasefireNO 97¢$4K

All outcomes

32
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
El-Sayed 98% +1.0 $336 $12K
Communist / Communism 96% -0.5 $192 $4K
Save America Act 96% — $112 $821
Stock Market 94% +6.0 $32 $608
Dividend / Stimulus 94% -1.0 $89 $555
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating 93% +6.0 $965 $1K
Hottest 87% +4.0 $539 $587
Barack Hussein Obama 85% +7.0 $682 $2K
Auto Worker / Autoworker 83% +12.0 $69 $359
Ford / General Motors / GM 83% — $91 $873
Sleepy Joe 82% +7.0 $144 $344
Canada / Canadian 82% +0.5 $359 $350
Supreme Court 80% +14.0 $974 $2K
Nuclear (3+ times) 78% +9.0 $1K $1K
Russia / Ukraine 78% +10.0 $668 $809
Iran (5+ times) 76% +12.0 $458 $2K
Kamala 72% +3.0 $48 $78
Made in America / American Made 70% -3.0 $3K $4K
America First 66% +45.5 $3K $4K
Blockade 64% +26.5 $608 $588
Hormuz 64% +14.0 $381 $634
Israel / Israeli 56% -5.0 $518 $983
Gulf of America 54% +12.5 $1K $1K
AI / Artificial Intelligence 30% +4.5 $232 $2K
Drill Baby Drill 22% -9.5 $278 $358
Fentanyl 20% -8.0 $52 $221
Deport / Deported / Deportation 18% -6.0 $830 $2K
Fraud (3+ times) 16% -4.0 $278 $583
Ceasefire 4% +2.0 $25K $19K
Peace in the Middle East 2% — $3K $5K
Crypto / Bitcoin 2% -0.5 $1K $10K
Event does not qualify 2% -0.5 $484 $4K

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