Will Trump say "Iceland / Icelandic" before Nov 1, 2026?

Settles Nov 01, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: What countries will Trump say in October?

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chance of YES98% -3.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
2–99%
· 7d -1 pts
24h volume
4.2K
$1 contracts
Open interest
27.1K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

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Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES99¢ 2,500$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.