Will Trump say "Iceland / Icelandic" before Nov 1, 2026?
chance of YES98%
-3.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
2–99%
24h volume
4.2K
Open interest
27.1K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
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Sudan / Sudanese4%70
Jamaica / Jamaican2%100
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 99¢ | 2,500 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.