What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Golden Dome

Settles Nov 01, 2026 (8d) All outcomes: What will Trump say in October?

chance of YES30% +5.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

18–69%

· 7d +39 pts

24h volume

277

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.