What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

UFO / UAP

Settles Nov 01, 2026 (8d) All outcomes: What will Trump say in October?

chance of YES32% +7.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

6–44%

· 7d -59 pts

24h volume

134

$1 contracts

Open interest

512

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.