K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in November?

Above 4.0%
Settles Dec 04, 2026 (41d) All outcomes: Unemployment in November Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES82% +3.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
19–96%
· 7d -5 pts
24h volume
18
$1 contracts
Open interest
946
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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