What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 17, 2026 (14d) All outcomes: 334: Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule

chance of YES12% -5.0pp in 24h

Price range (31h)

12–17%

24h volume

1.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 31h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.