What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 15, 2026 (14d) All outcomes: Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith: Method of Victory

chance of YES40% +1.5pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

38–43%

24h volume

11.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

16.0K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.