What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

chance of YES16% -1.0pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

14–40%

24h volume

2.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.