What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 15, 2026 (14d) All outcomes: Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan: Method of Victory

chance of YES32% -0.5pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

31–59%

24h volume

9.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

12.0K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.