What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 14, 2026 (14d) All outcomes: Lucia Szabova vs Tainara Lisboa: Method of Victory

chance of YES2% -1.5pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

3–7%

24h volume

11.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

14.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.