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Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 26, 2026?

5.05% or above
Settles Oct 26, 2026 (2d)

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES23%
Price range (120d)
—
24h volume
200
$1 contracts
Open interest
200
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

4.83% or above99%1.7K
4.87% or above98%245
4.81% or above98%2.3K
4.85% or above98%1.6K
4.91% or above96%420
4.89% or above96%400
4.93% or above86%200
4.95% or above80%200

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