What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 16, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Fernandez vs Kenin

chance of YES26% -3.5pp in 24h

Price range (26h)

25–33%

24h volume

2.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.7K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 26h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.