What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 16, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Williams vs Stoiana

chance of YES16% -1.5pp in 24h

Price range (25h)

15–19%

24h volume

8.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

7.6K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 25h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.