What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 60%, implying a 60% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Dec 04, 2026 (34d) All outcomes: Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (November 2026)

chance of YES60%

Price range (15h)

78–80%

24h volume

855

$1 contracts

Open interest

855

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 15h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.