polymarket
Sports
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Julian Alvarez
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 1% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -66.7pp
· 30d -66.7pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market on whether Julian Alvarez will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or has a current YES price of 0.00, indicating a perceived probability of zero. This assessment is based on currently available information, which suggests that Alvarez's chances of winning are not being considered by market participants at this time. The market will close on October 31, 2026, and the resolution source for this market is official information from France Football. Any changes to Alvarez's performance or other factors that impact his likelihood of winning could potentially drive the YES price up if market participants begin to perceive a higher probability of him taking home the award. Conversely, if Alvarez's chances of winning remain unchanged or decrease, the YES price would likely remain at its current level.
Generated Jul 27, 2026
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