polymarket Sports

Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Julian Alvarez
Closes Oct 31, 2026 (88d) 24h volume Open interest $2.1M Event Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 1% · Low 0% · 7d -66.7pp · 30d -66.7pp
1%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market on whether Julian Alvarez will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or has a current YES price of 0.00, indicating a perceived probability of zero. This assessment is based on currently available information, which suggests that Alvarez's chances of winning are not being considered by market participants at this time. The market will close on October 31, 2026, and the resolution source for this market is official information from France Football. Any changes to Alvarez's performance or other factors that impact his likelihood of winning could potentially drive the YES price up if market participants begin to perceive a higher probability of him taking home the award. Conversely, if Alvarez's chances of winning remain unchanged or decrease, the YES price would likely remain at its current level.
Generated Jul 27, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.