What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2030. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

P PolymarketMarkets & Companies

Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

December 31, 2028

Settles Jan 01, 2030 (1169d) All outcomes: CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

chance of YES22% -1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

16–48%

30d +30 pts · 7d +10 pts

24h volume

$2.1K

USDC traded

Open interest

$54.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

December 31, 202928%$310

December 31, 202710%$14.8K

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if CoreWeave announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents CoreWeave. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.