polymarket
Sports
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Declan Rice
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 12% ·
Low 0%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d -91.4pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market on whether Declan Rice will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or reflects a consensus that his chances of winning are extremely low, with the current YES price at 0.00%. This assessment is informed by the fact that Declan Rice has not yet demonstrated the level of performance required to be considered for the prestigious award. The market's current pricing suggests that participants do not believe he will meet this threshold in the next two years. Any significant improvement in his playing form or achievements would likely increase the YES price, while continued lack of progress or emergence of other strong contenders could further depress the price.
Generated Jul 22, 2026
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