polymarket Sports

Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Cristiano Ronaldo
Closes Oct 31, 2026 (88d) 24h volume $1.0K Open interest $2.1M Event Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 4% · Low 0% · 7d -66.7pp · 30d -97.7pp
4%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market on whether Cristiano Ronaldo will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or indicates a near-zero probability of his victory, with the current YES price at 0.00. This assessment is informed by the fact that there are currently no publicly available indicators or signals suggesting Ronaldo's performance in the 2025-2026 football season has been exceptional enough to warrant consideration for the prestigious award. The market will close on October 31, 2026, and any changes to this price would likely be driven by updates on Ronaldo's form, as well as the performances of other top contenders vying for the Ballon d'Or. A significant improvement in Ronaldo's game or a notable decline in the performance of his competitors could potentially drive the YES price up, while a continued lack of standout performances from Ronaldo and/or strong showings from other players could lead to a decrease in the YES price.
Generated Jul 21, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.