What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

P PolymarketCrypto

StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?

$100M

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (70d) All outcomes: StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

chance of YES1%

Price range (120d)

1–72%

30d -98 pts · 7d -93 pts

24h volume

—

USDC traded

Open interest

$172.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

$1B2%$238

$5B2%—

$3B2%$122

$800M 2%$855

$400M2%—

$200M2%$12

$2B1%$119

$50M1%$19

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.