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Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
$1.75–$2.0T
12%
implied YES probability
-0.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 17 days ·
High 18% ·
Low 10%
· 7d +8.7pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Prediction market traders speculate Anthropic will restore access quickly to AI model after Trump admin directed it to limit reach
CNBC Top News · 13h ago
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Borregaard ASA (BRGAY) Discusses BioSolutions Outlook, Market Uncertainty, and Product Mix Ahead of Q2 Close Transcript
Seeking Alpha News · 14h ago
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.