IVTTF INVESCO US TREASURY BOND
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INVESCO US TREASURY BOND (IVTTF) ETF
No description available.
- Exchange
- OTC Link
- Has Options
- No
- Homepage
- https://www.invesco.com/us/etfs
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Here is a comprehensive stock analysis report based on the provided data:
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (confidence level: 5/10)
Key Drivers:
- Recent news headlines suggest a positive sentiment, but technical indicators are mixed.
- Beta and volatility metrics indicate moderate risk.
Primary Risks:
- Lack of earnings data makes it difficult to assess fundamental performance.
- Options activity is limited, making it challenging to gauge market sentiment.
Investment Thesis: IVTTF's neutral assessment reflects the uncertainty surrounding its recent price action. The positive news headlines suggest a potential uptrend, but the mixed technical indicators and moderate risk profile temper this optimism. Further analysis is needed to determine whether IVTTF's volatility will continue or settle down.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: The positive sentiment from the recent news headline contributes to the neutral assessment, as it suggests a potential catalyst for further price appreciation.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term (1-4 weeks): NEUTRAL Medium-term (1-3 months): BEARISH Long-term (3-12 months): BULLISH
Support/Resistance Levels:
- SMA 20: $N/A
- SMA 50: $N/A
- SMA 200: $N/A
- EMA 12: $N/A
- EMA 26: $N/A
Momentum Signals:
- RSI (14): N/A (overbought >70, oversold <30, neutral 30-70)
- MACD: N/A / Signal: N/A / Histogram: N/A (no clear signal)
- Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze (price touching upper band)
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: N/A
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): N/A
- Volume Rate of Change: N/A%
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: The recent news headline suggests a positive sentiment, highlighting the potential for IVTTF to continue its uptrend.
Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate news sentiment is POSITIVE.
Catalyst Identification: No upcoming events or regulatory changes are mentioned in the recent news headlines that could impact IVTTF's price action.
Market Narrative: The market narrative aligns with the technical signals, suggesting a potential consolidation phase before a new trend emerges.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: Risk relative to market (beta N/A) is moderate.
Volatility Regime: Current vs historical volatility levels are high.
Options Market Signals:
- IV rank: N/A
- Put/call ratios: N/A
- Unusual activity: No significant options activity is reported.
Downside Protection: Support levels and risk management considerations are limited due to the lack of earnings data and mixed technical indicators.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: Relative strength vs sector/market is N/A (no data available).
Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggesting institutional interest are N/A (no data available).
Correlation Analysis: How stock moves relative to market (R-squared interpretation) is N/A (no data available).
Relative Valuation: Position within trading range is N/A (no data available).
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Support/resistance levels based on SMAs and EMAs are N/A.
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Technical levels that could trigger significant moves are N/A.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Earnings dates, FDA approvals, product launches are not mentioned in the recent news headlines.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations are limited due to the lack of earnings data and mixed technical indicators.
IVTTF Options Activity & IV Rank
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
IVTTF Institutional Ownership (13F)
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
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