How high will US gas prices get in Nov 2026?
50/50 line52%Above $4.25
Line nearest 50/50
52%
Market median
4.255
Biggest 24h move-4 pts
16%
24h volume
$2K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove $4.25
52%
+10
Above $4.30
35%
-54
Above $4.35
30%
+35
Above $4.40
16%
-4
Above $4.45
14%
+3
Above $4.50
12%
-2
Above $4.55
10%
-11
Above $4.60
10%
-4
Above $4.75
6%
+1
Above $4.70
5%
Above $4.80
2%
-2
What the market expects
median 4.255Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyAll outcomes
11| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $4.25 | 52% | +10.5 | $34 | $52 |
| Above $4.30 | 35% | -54.0 | $276 | $290 |
| Above $4.35 | 30% | +35.0 | $167 | $228 |
| Above $4.40 | 16% | -4.5 | $549 | $855 |
| Above $4.45 | 14% | +3.0 | $14 | $260 |
| Above $4.50 | 12% | -2.0 | $7 | $507 |
| Above $4.55 | 10% | -11.0 | $17 | $3K |
| Above $4.60 | 10% | -4.5 | $1K | $1K |
| Above $4.75 | 6% | +1.0 | $100 | $250 |
| Above $4.70 | 5% | — | $2 | $295 |
| Above $4.80 | 2% | -2.0 | $20 | $1K |