How To Quit Smoking: First Week Album Equivalent Units

4 outcomesSettles Nov 08, 2026 (8d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line57%Above 15K
Line nearest 50/50
57%
Above 15K
Market median
15.824K
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$399
$607 open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 10K 94% +5
Above 12K 87% +15
Above 15K 57% -41
Above 20K 12% -14

What the market expects

median 15.824K

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · hourly

All outcomes

4
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 10K 94% +5.0 $2 $80
Above 12K 87% +15.0 $38 $248
Above 15K 57% -41.0 $101 $156
Above 20K 12% -14.0 $258 $123

Same series