What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 57%, implying a 57% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 08, 2026 (8d) All outcomes: How To Quit Smoking: First Week Album Equivalent Units

chance of YES57% -41.0pp in 24h

Price range (33h)

55–96%

24h volume

101

$1 contracts

Open interest

156

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 33h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.