Francis Bacon: Self-Portrait (1972; lot 123) sale price?
50/50 line58%Above $12.5M
Line nearest 50/50
58%
Market median
14.1M
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$3K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noWhat the market expects
median 14.1MChance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyAll outcomes
5| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $10M | 80% | — | $3K | $3K |
| Above $12.5M | 58% | — | $7 | $7 |
| Above $15M | 46% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above $17M | 39% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above $19M | 30% | — | $0 | $0 |
Same series
- François-Xavier Lalanne: Babouin (1984; lot 11) sale price?≈ Above $5M 28% · settles 2026-11-19
- Fernando Botero: The Arnolfini Portrait, after van Eyck (1978; lot 45A) sale price?≈ Above $1.25M 66% · settles 2026-11-18
- Matthew Wong: Untitled (2017; lot 5A) sale price?≈ Above $3M 71% · settles 2026-11-17
- Dana Schutz: Assemblage (2003; lot 941) sale price?≈ Above $250K 68% · settles 2026-11-21
- Avery Singer: JUUL Smoke (2021; lot 22) sale price?≈ Above $400K 76% · settles 2026-11-19
- Edgar Degas: Scène de ballet (c. 1879; lot 59A) sale price?≈ Above $6M 38% · settles 2026-11-18