What will Hailey Bieber say during NYT DealBook Summit?

16 outcomesSettles Dec 02, 2026 (22d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line48%Europe / European
Line nearest 50/50
48%
Europe / European
Runner-up
78%
Makeup
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$29
$10K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

+ 2 more in the table below.

Odds over time

hourly

Hourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

16
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Skincare / Skin Care 86% +0.5 $0 $2K
Makeup 78% +0.5 $0 $2K
e.l.f. / Elf 77% +11.0 $18 $3K
Rhode 77% -9.0 $0 $3K
Europe / European 48% -35.0 $5 $173
Peptide 38% +3.0 $6 $13
Acquired / Acquisition 31% — $0 $0
Lip Tint 29% — $0 $0
Adanola 29% — $0 $20
Billion 28% — $0 $0
Pocket Bronze 28% — $0 $0
Highlight Milk 28% — $0 $0
Skylrk 28% — $0 $0
Fragrance 28% -7.0 $0 $2
Sephora 28% — $0 $27
Event does not qualify 8% -2.5 $0 $9