DeepSeek market share this week
50/50 line51%Above 23.4%
Line nearest 50/50
51%
Market median
22.854%
Biggest 24h move+67 pts
98%
24h volume
$137K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 20.0%
98%
Above 21.9%
98%
+67
Above 21.3%
98%
Above 22.2%
89%
Above 22.4%
84%
+64
Above 22.6%
80%
+64
Above 23.4%
51%
Above 22.9%
44%
Above 24.6%
18%
What the market expects
median 22.854%Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 22.4%YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 21.3%YES $2K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 22.6%YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 22.2%YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 20.0%YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 22.9%YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 20.0% | YES | 98¢ | $1K | |
| Above 21.3% | YES | 92¢ | $1K | |
| Above 22.9% | YES | 65¢ | $1K | |
| Above 22.4% | YES | 77¢ | $2K | |
| Above 22.2% | YES | 81¢ | $1K | |
| Above 22.6% | YES | 73¢ | $1K | |
| Above 21.3% | YES | 86¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
9| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 20.0% | 98% | — | $6K | $5K |
| Above 21.9% | 98% | +67.0 | $17K | $6K |
| Above 21.3% | 98% | — | $10K | $6K |
| Above 22.2% | 89% | — | $14K | $8K |
| Above 22.4% | 84% | +64.5 | $20K | $9K |
| Above 22.6% | 80% | +64.5 | $27K | $12K |
| Above 23.4% | 51% | — | $18K | $11K |
| Above 22.9% | 44% | — | $18K | $7K |
| Above 24.6% | 18% | — | $7K | $3K |