What will Applied Optoelectronics say during their next earnings call?
50/50 line20%Tariff
Line nearest 50/50
20%
Runner-up
100%
Biggest 24h move-65 pts
20%
24h volume
$40K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noCPO / Co-Packaged Optics
100%
+16
Qualification
100%
+5
Indium Phosphide
100%
Tariff
20%
-65
Innolight
10%
-9
China / Chinese
10%
-85
Pearland
10%
-74
Firmware
10%
-18
Quantum
4%
-56
Refund
4%
-40
Mediacom
4%
-47
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- QuantumYES $0 · NO $3K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantum | NO | 97¢ | $1K | |
| Quantum | NO | 90¢ | $2K |
All outcomes
12| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPO / Co-Packaged Optics | 100% | +16.0 | $259 | $280 |
| Qualification | 100% | +5.0 | $502 | $827 |
| Indium Phosphide | 100% | — | $573 | $554 |
| Tariff | 20% | -65.0 | $935 | $672 |
| Innolight | 10% | -9.0 | $78 | $139 |
| China / Chinese | 10% | -85.0 | $81 | $503 |
| Pearland | 10% | -74.0 | $308 | $418 |
| Firmware | 10% | -18.0 | $172 | $221 |
| FCC / Federal Communications Commission | 8% | -13.0 | $177 | $229 |
| Quantum | 4% | -56.0 | $36K | $21K |
| Refund | 4% | -40.0 | $638 | $771 |
| Mediacom | 4% | -47.0 | $573 | $759 |