What will Josh Shapiro say during Face the Nation?
50/50 line54%Tariff
Line nearest 50/50
54%
Runner-up
93%
Biggest 24h move-30 pts
22%
24h volume
$10K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noDemocrat
94%
+5
Corrupt / Corruption
93%
+4
Healthcare
92%
+18
Trump
92%
+1
Measles
84%
Republican
80%
+2
Election
78%
-10
Tariff
54%
-5
Vaccine / Vaccination
44%
-16
Iran / Iranian
33%
-26
2028 / Campaign
30%
-34
Affordable / Affordability
22%
-30
AI / Artificial Intelligence
16%
-36
Data Center
12%
-33
+ 2 more in the table below.
Odds over time
hourlyHourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
16| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | 94% | +5.0 | $607 | $2K |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 93% | +4.0 | $2K | $2K |
| Healthcare | 92% | +17.5 | $1K | $2K |
| Trump | 92% | +1.0 | $696 | $2K |
| Measles | 84% | — | $766 | $2K |
| Republican | 80% | +2.0 | $151 | $175 |
| Election | 78% | -10.5 | $80 | $86 |
| Tariff | 54% | -5.0 | $999 | $973 |
| Vaccine / Vaccination | 44% | -16.0 | $1K | $1K |
| Iran / Iranian | 33% | -26.0 | $960 | $947 |
| 2028 / Campaign | 30% | -34.0 | $139 | $166 |
| Affordable / Affordability | 22% | -30.5 | $576 | $745 |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 16% | -35.5 | $491 | $577 |
| Data Center | 12% | -33.0 | $216 | $398 |
| Vance | 10% | -21.5 | $267 | $236 |
| Event does not qualify | 10% | +5.0 | $341 | $360 |