What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 93%, implying a 93% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 15, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: What will Josh Shapiro say during Face the Nation?

chance of YES93% +2.0pp in 24h

Price range (39h)

33–95%

24h volume

696

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 39h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.