US jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026
50/50 line50%Above -50,000
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Market median
-50000
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$762
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noWhat the market expects
median -50000Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyAll outcomes
5| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -100,000 | 56% | +18.0 | $134 | $5 |
| Above -50,000 | 50% | — | $402 | $16 |
| Above 0 | 50% | -12.5 | $132 | $75 |
| Above 50,000 | 25% | +3.0 | $44 | $14 |
| Above 100,000 | 15% | -12.0 | $50 | $62 |