Will the U.S. two-month net payroll revision in the report covering October 2026 be above -100,000?

Above -100,000
Settles Nov 06, 2026 (10d) All outcomes: US jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026

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chance of YES56% -4.5pp in 24h
Price range (23h)
38–85%
24h volume
130
$1 contracts
Open interest
5
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

hourly, 23h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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